Trade War Looming. China Ammunition Stocks

Trading in chinese stocks

Two years after the launch of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect Programme, the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Connect is poised to open as early as next week — trading in chinese stocks both the trading links represent the only direct method for foreign investors to tap into trading in chinese stocks mainland equities trading without seeking approval from the Chinese government.

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Market observers have trading in chinese stocks its arrival, speculating how much investor interest it will lure in and how successful it will be in attracting trade flows. If the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect is anything to go by, trading in chinese stocks acceptance by investors will come slowly and steadily.

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The programme began very slowly, as many investors preferred to first observe rather than dive into new territories. With time, aggregate usage of the Stock Connect quota has gradually increased.

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But we have seen different reactions from southbound domestic investors buying Hong Kong-listed shares and northbound international investors buying Chinese A-shares investors. The main factors driving northbound trade flows were risk perception, liquidity concerns and index inclusion.

Connecting China's Exchanges

In addition to high volatility, liquidity is also a big concern as A-share companies can voluntarily decide to suspend the trading of their stocks for a number of reasons — and this could last for months.

This year, Chinese regulators have tightened the rules, and recently we have seen a slow improvement in northbound trading activities.

He said the U. The month removal rule would be limited to Chinese companies. Companies from other markets who are removed from the index due to a long suspension of trading would be able to start a review process for reinclusion once they resumed trading. Suspensions have also increased among companies with larger capitalizations as Beijing steps up consolidation of state-owned enterprises. An average ofor one in every 13, listed companies in China suspended trade in July, according to data provided last Wednesday by the fund consultancy Z-Ben Advisors.

On the positive, the upcoming Shenzhen-Hong Kong Trading in chinese stocks Connect Programme will offer more A-share stocks for international investors to choose from, which could increase the interest in northbound trading. Ultimately, a key factor remains when the MSCI will include Chinese A-shares in their indices — when included in the benchmarks, international institutions and mutual funds will have to start buy them.

The main drivers of southbound trading have been speculative appetite and the depreciation of the yuan. Then in the spring ofmainland investors started using southbound trading as a method to speculate that Hong Kong-listed stocks would catch up with the A-share rally given the big valuation gap between the two markets.

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This year, prompted by the Chinese yuan depreciation, southbound trading increased as mainland institutions and wealthy individuals sought Hong Kong dollar denominated stocks, particular those with high dividend yield. Two years after the launch, stock markets in Shanghai and Hong Kong have become increasingly correlated, but there continues to be a big difference in the trading in chinese stocks behaviours of the immature A-share mainland stock market driven by trading in chinese stocks speculation, and the highly developed mature Hong Kong stock market.

What does this mean for companies listed in China? More capital will become available because, in addition to domestic investors, foreign investors — particularly institutional — will be interested. This is important to us as investors. We like to see corporate governance improve, because it creates value for us as minority shareholders. And the trade war?

As the Stock Connect Programme continues to progress, the two markets will grow closer in characteristic, although slowly.

Important legal information The information in this document is given for information purposes only and does not qualify as investment advice. Opinions and assessments contained in this document trading numeri binari miglior siti change and reflect the point of view of GAM in the current economic environment.

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No liability shall be accepted for the accuracy and completeness of the information. Past performance is no indicator for the current or future development.

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